Continuing on with the same focus as yesterday's blog What does "Day One" look like?, we are going to measure turnout in Tarrant County, looking back and comparing Republican and Democrat daily turnout figures against turnout in 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018 Primaries. Day One showed a slight edge overall for the Democrats. Let's see what day two brings us.
Starting with the Republicans, there were 4,393 votes yesterday; 4,329 (98.5%) In-Person and 64 (1.5%) By-Mail. In contrast, the Democrats had 3,287 votes; 2,790 (85%) In-Person and 497 (15%) By-Mail.
Compared to the previous elections being measured, yesterday's "Day Two" was a fairly good day for both Republicans and Democrats. In-Person Republican voters had their second-best showing slightly behind 2016 with 4,579 voters. Democrat voters had their best In-Person showing with 2,790 voters. This is more than 500 votes better than in 2016.
Regarding the By-Mail vote, Democrat Voters had a lead over Republicans with a 7.77 advantage yesterday and a 1.49 advantage over both days.
Overall after Day Two, Republican voters gained back the lead with a total of 10,811 votes to 9,793 Democrat votes. Still, even with the current lead, Republicans had their third-best showing in the series and Democrats had their best by over 2,000 votes.
It's only been two days, nine more to go! I still believe we see Democrat-leaning favor going into the Nov Gen. It's still early, so I will patiently wait to see where the lot falls over the next nine days.
As a friendly reminder, we are not predicting outcome here, but simply looking at the story the numbers tell. We would love to hear your fun nuggets of data discovery if you would like to share it with us. Also, we would love your kind comments and would greatly appreciate your feedback.
John 13:34 NIV
“A new command I give you:
Love one another. As I have loved you, so you must love one another.
Peace and Joy be yours in abundance!