I fear at this point, I'm in danger of repeating myself over the next 9 days of early voting; many times. Republicans still have the turnout advantage over the Democrats. But with this, the Democrats are outperforming their previous years in this series.
As a reminder, in this blog series, we are measuring turnout in Tarrant County, looking back and comparing Republican and Democrat daily turnout figures against turnout in 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018 Primaries.
Republicans had 4,289 votes on Day 3 of early voting. This is the second-best Day 3 turnout since 2012, with 2016 being the best at about 200 votes more. Democrats, on the other hand, had 3,171 votes. Although significantly less, this was by far the best Day 3 turnout for the Democrats. The next best was in 2016 with 1,934 votes.
Turning our attention to the cumulative In-Person and By-Mail votes for all three days Republicans sit at 15,683 to the Democrats 13,236. This gives the Republicans an advantage factor of 1.18, which is historically the smallest advantage the Republicans have had since 2012 primary.
A lot can happen in the next 8 days, we know who has voted and who has not. Will the Republicans rally and turn their historical advantage back around or will we see the Democrats hold on to their increasing share of the Tarrant County turnout?
James 1:12 NIV
Blessed is the one who perseveres under trial because, having stood the test, that person will receive the crown of life that the Lord has promised to those who love him.